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thing he said that was really interesting is that latinos -- should i win a big reason will be because the republican nominee and party have so alienated the fastest-growing demographic group in the country the latino community. if the turnout is over 9%, obama should win the lead among them is massive. do you think that turnout will be the thing to make the difference in nevada, colorado, florida, perhaps virginia, those competitive states with growing latino populations? >> if obama wins colorado and virginia you have to attribute it in part to that margin. when's sort of interesting, that's difficult to measure well and not all pollsters using spanish-speaking interviews and the rest but the nbc news/"wall street journal" poll i believe gave president obama 70% and the same as the decisions poll of the last week. that's actually slightly higher than percentage than the exit poll four years ago and equals the margin of four years ago, that's something different from everybody else except probably african-american voters where the numbers have gone down so i think that's right. >> mar
out is latinos are underpolled nationwide partly because of a language barrier. you don't get an accurate reading and we talked about before in 2010 colorado, harry reid, a lot of latinos there. they trailed sharon engel by three points at the end and he wins. they're not correctly polling latinos and hispanics. virginia is a huge thing. 80% of the state, and a 92% increase since 2000. if you see an irregularity or differentiation from the polling in colorado, virginia, florida and perhaps florida on election night because they didn't correctly poll lati teenotices. >> virginia will come down to the d, democrats. 200,000 defense jobs are on the line with that sequestration looming on the horizon. the president knows that. i think george allen and tim kainen that. george allen has a new ad talking about it. >> the defense cuts tim kaine are threatening over 200,000 virginia jobs. the solution is to raise taxes. that will cost even more jobs. >> i think there's making a big deal about this because then it's crucial in the state economy. it will trickle up to the presidential ele
in to this column today on the strength of three different factors. two of them having to do with the latino vote. the demographics have shifted in favor of democrats even since 2008. our friend nate cohn pointed out 69% to 65.5% over 4 years, 150,000 more african-americans registered and 300,000 more registered hispanics. plurality of which are registered as democrats and demographics moved and also latinos are energized about the election. 87% nationwide of registered latinos say they'll cast a ballot. 45% said they're more excited than they were in 2008. the numbers up and increasing week by week and very encouraging for the president in florida but, you know, the last factor that actually caused me to move the state in to the blue column is sandy and that's why i moved it just today because i think florida's a state where people really understand the importance of fema, the importance of an effective and strong national response to disasters and i think the president's leadership here as close as the race is in florida could be enough to move it in his favor. >> well, not surprisingly, my rac
research that found that selectivity definitely has economic benefit force black and latino students. no economic benefits over the long term for white students but unquestionable benefits for black and latino students. what do you say to that? >> alan kruger didn't say they were unquestionable benefits and our work is peer reviewed. there's a mountain of articles on which it's based. those 11 scholars focused on one debate in which there isn't a single critique that is peer reviewed. the weight of the evidence is on our side. kruger is an excellent economist and his article is an important one, but there are about six articles i can point you to all very well-done that can mix conclusions on the earnings issue. whether you earn more, if by getting a preference over your long-term career is an open question. the issue of whether you survive? science, whether you pass bar exams, whether you are likely to have good grades, those aren't largely debates. they can see there's a problem. >>ed i would add the so-called empirical scholars that said our work was shoddy. i think their brief is
and skill that african-americans and latinos in particular have to master to be successful? >> absolutely. there's a phrase known as the black tax where you have to work twice as hard and be twice as good if you're african-american. there's a black linguist task. in this case i think it's fascinating that we have a president who can basically sum up in a nut shell what scholars refer to as white cultural ho homogeny. if you're too far away from whiteness, you get judged negatively. when harry reid said that barack obama can speak in the quote-unquote negro dialect, unless he wanted to have one, you will never hear anyone referring to a white candidate as speaking in a he white dialect, right, or can't speak in a white dialect unless he wants to have one. you never have that refusal. it's absolutely true. >> professor in 2004 bill cosby set off a firestorm when he criticized pockets of black america for failing to teach their children proper english. how has that narrative changed or evolved since obama came into office, or has it? >> ing think it's interesting, because i've received phone
, massive lead with blacks, latinos, unmarried women, do you think that that maintains and helps protect the small lead that he has? >> i think it does and i think it is what's keeping states like colorado and virginia close. i think the national polls show obama with an overwhelming advantage among nonwhite voters and even though he's fallen off a lot with white voters looks like he's at the threshold to win if nonwhite voiters turn out the same rate four years ago. i don't think we know whether or not they will but if the ground game and enthusiasm regenerates, romney would struggle to overcome that especially in nevada and virginia and to a lesser extent south carolina and florida. >> if you look at the snap polls, they have romney squarely winning on the economy. ybs with 65% to 34%. if we believe what we believed all year the economy is most important to voters and giving the win overall to obama, then what is this sort of portend? that the economy's going to be an important issue and like obama so much to forget that it's so bad? what do you make of that? >> i have one question abo
minority turnout for both the african-american and latino simply because this horrible voter suppression law that finally got stayed by the state supreme court. >> governor, i want to make sure. if romney wins, i get you back on the program and we can talk about folks in the media and folks on the left blaming racism and voter suppression, then? >> only if there's a studio in toronto. no, i'm only kidding. >> well played. >> fair enough. >> governor, i want to follow-up a little bit on that possible romney victory scenario. it's obviously real at it this point. you cite the example when bush won in 2001 despite all of the contentiousness democrats did work with him in his first term. you look at how republicans greeted obama's election in 2008, however, it was a strategy of reflexive object position and total and complete obstruction. it was really strategic. we'll deny him bipartisan achievements and spend the next four years railing about broken promises, he didn't make washington work again and all this stuff from mitt romney. i'm wondering if that strategy they had is rewarded with a
economic competence and likability. we're talking about a battle between white turnout and latino turnout. one of the things that keeps me from being -- keeps from being awake all night at night is the cleveland plane dealer, which has gone with the winner has endorsed barack obama. they talked about a reluctant rehire, which is the mood for a lot of people. 60% of the country wants a different administration the second time as you pointed out in that poll, but a lot of the people like him. women like to return the incumbent and give him another chance. the road to 270 is easier for obama, harder for romney. if obama gets ohio and wisconsin, game blouses. >> well. from where we are now to last night in boca, neck up in "the spin," our favorite debate moments. where others fail, droid powers through. introducing the new droid razr maxx hd by motorola. now more than ever droid does. that makes watching tv even better. if your tv were a hot dog zeebox would be some sort of fancy, french mustard. when they magically unite, people would think, "woah, this two dollar hot dog tastes like a fancy
to the african-american community and to the latino community and the whole voter suppression movement of trying to limit how many people can vote, voter i.d., disenfranchisement, and there's a backlash. that's something that's going to motivate people in a new way. >> i think there is something of a thrill still there for most people. i think you're talking about a fringe that are disappointed now, but most understand the historic importance of a black president. i wonder if you talked to people about how they would feel, the pain they might feel if obama was not re-elected. >> that is a very good point, and i think that's become clearer and clearer over the last few weeks. i mean, i'll be hohn with you. i went to a snoop dogg concert in may, and i was disturbed by some of the young people who basically said, look, obama has got four years. it's time for somebody new. what's the other guy's name? i don't know. >> they're not going to vote, though, are they? >> it's the attention deficit dysfunctional syndrome. i think as we've gone through the debates, as we've gone through the conventions, as
Search Results 0 to 17 of about 18 (some duplicates have been removed)

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